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split out estimate docs
authored
May 30, 2024
by
anarcat
It was getting hard to format this properly in the list
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@@ -322,28 +322,7 @@ exhaustive procedure might look something like this:
5.
**costs**
: by now you should have a good idea of what you're
doing. break down the tasks in digestible chunks, both in the plan
but also in a "Costs" section, following the
[
Kaplan-Moss
estimation technique
][]
, as a reminder, we first estimate each
task's complexity:
| Complexity | Time |
|-------------|-------------------|
| small | 1 day |
| medium | 3 days |
| large | 1 week (5 days) |
| extra-large | 2 weeks (10 days) |
... and then multiply that by the uncertainty:
| Uncertainty Level | Multiplier |
| ----------------- | ---------- |
| low | 1.1 |
| moderate | 1.5 |
| high | 2.0 |
| extreme | 5.0 |
This is hard! If you feel you want to write "extra-large" and
"extreme" everywhere, that's because you haven't broken down your
tasks well enough, break them down again.
estimation technique
][]
(see below)
6.
**timeline**
: now you have a real task list, try to slot this into
weeks and months, starting from a fictional approval date (see the
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@@ -377,6 +356,32 @@ tasks well enough, break them down again.
[
Kaplan-Moss estimation technique
]:
https://jacobian.org/2021/may/25/my-estimation-technique/
### Estimation technique
As a reminder, we first estimate each task's complexity:
| Complexity | Time |
|-------------|-------------------|
| small | 1 day |
| medium | 3 days |
| large | 1 week (5 days) |
| extra-large | 2 weeks (10 days) |
... and then multiply that by the uncertainty:
| Uncertainty Level | Multiplier |
| ----------------- | ---------- |
| low | 1.1 |
| moderate | 1.5 |
| high | 2.0 |
| extreme | 5.0 |
This is hard! If you feel you want to write "extra-large" and
"extreme" everywhere, that's because you haven't broken down your
tasks well enough, break them down again.
See the
[
Kaplan-Moss estimation technique
][]
for details.
## Pager playbook
### Wiki unavailable
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