... | ... | @@ -322,28 +322,7 @@ exhaustive procedure might look something like this: |
|
|
5. **costs**: by now you should have a good idea of what you're
|
|
|
doing. break down the tasks in digestible chunks, both in the plan
|
|
|
but also in a "Costs" section, following the [Kaplan-Moss
|
|
|
estimation technique][], as a reminder, we first estimate each
|
|
|
task's complexity:
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Complexity | Time |
|
|
|
|-------------|-------------------|
|
|
|
| small | 1 day |
|
|
|
| medium | 3 days |
|
|
|
| large | 1 week (5 days) |
|
|
|
| extra-large | 2 weeks (10 days) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
... and then multiply that by the uncertainty:
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Uncertainty Level | Multiplier |
|
|
|
| ----------------- | ---------- |
|
|
|
| low | 1.1 |
|
|
|
| moderate | 1.5 |
|
|
|
| high | 2.0 |
|
|
|
| extreme | 5.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
This is hard! If you feel you want to write "extra-large" and
|
|
|
"extreme" everywhere, that's because you haven't broken down your
|
|
|
tasks well enough, break them down again.
|
|
|
estimation technique][] (see below)
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. **timeline**: now you have a real task list, try to slot this into
|
|
|
weeks and months, starting from a fictional approval date (see the
|
... | ... | @@ -377,6 +356,32 @@ tasks well enough, break them down again. |
|
|
|
|
|
[Kaplan-Moss estimation technique]: https://jacobian.org/2021/may/25/my-estimation-technique/
|
|
|
|
|
|
### Estimation technique
|
|
|
|
|
|
As a reminder, we first estimate each task's complexity:
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Complexity | Time |
|
|
|
|-------------|-------------------|
|
|
|
| small | 1 day |
|
|
|
| medium | 3 days |
|
|
|
| large | 1 week (5 days) |
|
|
|
| extra-large | 2 weeks (10 days) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
... and then multiply that by the uncertainty:
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Uncertainty Level | Multiplier |
|
|
|
| ----------------- | ---------- |
|
|
|
| low | 1.1 |
|
|
|
| moderate | 1.5 |
|
|
|
| high | 2.0 |
|
|
|
| extreme | 5.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
This is hard! If you feel you want to write "extra-large" and
|
|
|
"extreme" everywhere, that's because you haven't broken down your
|
|
|
tasks well enough, break them down again.
|
|
|
|
|
|
See the [Kaplan-Moss estimation technique][] for details.
|
|
|
|
|
|
## Pager playbook
|
|
|
|
|
|
### Wiki unavailable
|
... | ... | |