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split out estimate docs authored by anarcat's avatar anarcat 
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...@@ -322,28 +322,7 @@ exhaustive procedure might look something like this: ...@@ -322,28 +322,7 @@ exhaustive procedure might look something like this:
5. **costs**: by now you should have a good idea of what you're 5. **costs**: by now you should have a good idea of what you're
doing. break down the tasks in digestible chunks, both in the plan doing. break down the tasks in digestible chunks, both in the plan
but also in a "Costs" section, following the [Kaplan-Moss but also in a "Costs" section, following the [Kaplan-Moss
estimation technique][], as a reminder, we first estimate each estimation technique][] (see below)
task's complexity:
| Complexity | Time |
|-------------|-------------------|
| small | 1 day |
| medium | 3 days |
| large | 1 week (5 days) |
| extra-large | 2 weeks (10 days) |
... and then multiply that by the uncertainty:
| Uncertainty Level | Multiplier |
| ----------------- | ---------- |
| low | 1.1 |
| moderate | 1.5 |
| high | 2.0 |
| extreme | 5.0 |
This is hard! If you feel you want to write "extra-large" and
"extreme" everywhere, that's because you haven't broken down your
tasks well enough, break them down again.
6. **timeline**: now you have a real task list, try to slot this into 6. **timeline**: now you have a real task list, try to slot this into
weeks and months, starting from a fictional approval date (see the weeks and months, starting from a fictional approval date (see the
...@@ -377,6 +356,32 @@ tasks well enough, break them down again. ...@@ -377,6 +356,32 @@ tasks well enough, break them down again.
[Kaplan-Moss estimation technique]: https://jacobian.org/2021/may/25/my-estimation-technique/ [Kaplan-Moss estimation technique]: https://jacobian.org/2021/may/25/my-estimation-technique/
### Estimation technique
As a reminder, we first estimate each task's complexity:
| Complexity | Time |
|-------------|-------------------|
| small | 1 day |
| medium | 3 days |
| large | 1 week (5 days) |
| extra-large | 2 weeks (10 days) |
... and then multiply that by the uncertainty:
| Uncertainty Level | Multiplier |
| ----------------- | ---------- |
| low | 1.1 |
| moderate | 1.5 |
| high | 2.0 |
| extreme | 5.0 |
This is hard! If you feel you want to write "extra-large" and
"extreme" everywhere, that's because you haven't broken down your
tasks well enough, break them down again.
See the [Kaplan-Moss estimation technique][] for details.
## Pager playbook ## Pager playbook
### Wiki unavailable ### Wiki unavailable
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